Last week ATS: 6-8 (1-5 National, 5-3 B1G)
Season ATS: 26-42 (7-17 National, 19-25 B1G)
If it wasn’t for bad luck, MCJ would have no fitness during all this year. At slightest final week wasn’t scarcely as bad as a before week, yet there was still copiousness of severe moments. Last week’s inhabitant line-up was generally ugly, as Georgia, Alabama, and Oregon all were covering in a fourth quarter, yet couldn’t tighten a deal. Hope a waves can start branch this week, and we can start throwing a few breaks.
No. 12 West Virginia (-4) v. No. 25 Texas Tech – 12:00 PM EST – ESPN2
Third time has to be a attract when it comes to betting opposite Texas Tech, right? The final dual weeks I’ve badly missed on picking opposite a Red Raiders, yet their fitness has to run out during some point.
West Virginia’s invulnerability competence be for genuine this year, as a Mountaineers posted an considerable 35-6 win over Kansas State final week. Tony GIbson’s section is usually giving adult 12.3 points per diversion so far, yet a West Virginia invulnerability will face their toughest exam this deteriorate when they conduct to Lubbock.
If this widespread was over a touchdown, we competence cruise subsidy Texas Tech during home, yet we consider Will Grier and a West Virginia offense will be a small too most for a Red Raiders to keep adult with. The Mountaineers make it 5 true wins over Texas Tech.
West Virginia 44, Texas Tech 31
No. 18 Texas (-9) v. Kansas State – 3:30 PM EST – FS1
Tom Herman competence usually wish to get his group to fake a whole diversion is a second half on Saturday. The Longhorns have done some extensive adjustments a final dual weeks entrance out of a halftime break, outscoring USC and TCU by a sum measure of 42-3.
Normally this would be a primary “Bill Snyder Special” game, where a Wildcats aren’t given most of a shot and afterwards finish adult pulling a upset, or covering a indicate widespread during a really least. This year isn’t utterly a same as before years though, as Kansas State feels like a bit of a mess.
K-State not usually mislaid to Mississippi State a integrate weeks ago, yet they got crushed by West Virginia final week. There is still a possibility that we all get Tim Beck-ed and Texas loses a diversion they should simply win, yet it feels like Tom Herman competence have incited a dilemma with his squad, so I’m going to take my chances that Herman will keep his offense on a rails.
Texas 38, Kansas State 20
Florida v. No. 23 Mississippi State (-7.5) – 6:00 PM EST – ESPN
Imagine if before a deteriorate began someone told we that streamer into a Dan Mullen Bowl that both of these teams would have a detriment on their record during a hands of Kentucky. You would be carrying that chairman propitious for a true coupler and a padded room, right?
Following their detriment in a second week of a deteriorate to Kentucky, Florida has responded with dual true wins, scoring during slightest 47 points in both of those games. The Gators have seen quarterback Feleipe Franks chuck for 12 touchdowns so distant this season, that has to be a warn for Florida after a prolonged line of common quarterbacks in Gainesville given Tim Tebow graduated.
Mississippi State has had this diversion circled on their report ever given Dan Mullen left a Bulldogs final year to lapse to Florida, where he was an partner for 4 years before to holding a conduct coaching pursuit in Starkville. Quarterback Nick Fitzgerald will be looking to miscarry from his misfortune start for a Bulldogs, where he accounted for usually 165 sum yards.
If anyone is going to know how to delayed down this Mississippi State team, it is Mullen. But, a Bulldogs will get an romantic feat over their former conduct coach, yet Saturday night’s competition among a cowbells in Starkville will come down to a wire.
Mississippi State 28, Florida 24
No. 7 Stanford v. No. 8 Notre Dame (-5.5) – 7:30 PM EST – NBC
If Notre Dame is means to get by Stanford on Saturday night, a trail to a College Football Playoff for a Fighting Irish will transparent adult considerably. Sure, Notre Dame could still remove to Virginia Tech, Florida State, or USC, yet those teams have already shown this year that they aren’t utterly during a same turn as they have been in years past.
Stanford was radically a pylon divided from pang their initial detriment of a deteriorate final week. Oregon looked like they were about to go adult 31-7, yet a Cardinal got a present call from a refs and usually a few plays after it was 24-14. Quarterback K.J. Costello did a lot of a complicated lifting for a Stanford offense, as Bryce Love was mostly hold in check by Oregon.
Hitting a highway for a primetime diversion opposite a ranked competition for a second week in a quarrel won’t be easy, yet Stanford’s invulnerability will keep them in a game. Quarterback Ian Book had a outrageous diversion in his initial career start final week opposite Wake Forest, yet doing a same opposite a Stanford invulnerability will be a most worse task.
If we are truly ripped on this game, usually ask yourself that manager we would rather have on your side in a large game, David Shaw or Brian Kelly? The answer to that doubt shouldn’t take we really prolonged to answer.
Stanford 23, Notre Dame 20
No. 20 BYU v. No. 11 Washington (-17) – 8:30 PM EST – FOX
After violence Wisconsin in Madison, a cougars returned home to hit off McNeese State final week in Provo. This week, BYU hits a highway again for another divided diversion opposite a tough ranked team. A integrate weeks ago a Cougars went into Madison and kick Wisconsin to snap a Badgers’ extensive home winning strain opposite non-conference opponents. BYU does have copiousness of knowledge during quarterback with 13th-year comparison Tanner Mangum holding a snaps.
Washington has their possess gifted quarterback in Jake Browning, yet a Huskies’ offense has struggled most of a year, usually scoring some-more than 27 points in one game. After a 21-16 detriment opposite Auburn to open a season, Chris Petersen’s group has no domain for blunder if they wish to lapse to a College Football Playoff.
This feels like a few too many points for a Huskies to be laying on Saturday night. Washington hasn’t shown a ability to blow peculiarity opponents out this year, and BYU is battle-tested. The Cougars won’t kick Washington, yet we really can see BYU losing by reduction than double-digits.
Washington 31, BYU 24
No. 19 Oregon (-3) v. No. 24 California – 10:30 PM EST – FS1
The Ducks can’t spend most time feeling contemptible for themselves after being a plant of an unimaginable Stanford quip final week. Oregon has to try and miscarry opposite a Cal group that is 3-0 for a initial time given 2015. With Washington visiting Eugene in a integrate of weeks, a Ducks can’t means a detriment to a Golden Bears, or Oregon could be staring an 0-3 Pac-12 start in a face.
I was a small astounded to see Cal cocktail adult in a AP Poll this week. we knew Justin Wilcox had a Golden Bears personification good football in his second deteriorate as conduct coach, yet we didn’t know Cal was utterly this distant along. Unlike Cal teams of new memory, a Golden Bears are anticipating success with their defense. Tim DeRuyter’s invulnerability has authorised some-more than 23 points in usually a singular diversion this year.
As Oregon looks to get behind in a win column, during slightest they’ll be personification a group they have dominated for a improved partial of a final decade. The Ducks have won 8 of a final 9 meetings with a Golden Bears, and have scored during slightest 40 points in a final 7 games opposite Cal. Justin Wilcox has Cal’s invulnerability personification better, yet they aren’t utterly prepared to delayed down Justin Herbert, who has 13 touchdown passes so distant this year.
Oregon 41, California 30